Black Deuces – Poker Blog

As expected last time, the good run has ended. Resulting in the following stats after 49 tournaments: net profit $197.31 with a ROI of 161. Ofcourse these are still amazing figures (which can’t be sustained in the long run), but most of this profit is thanks to the first 20 tournaments. For the last 29 tournaments, I’m running quite a bit below EV:

That big spike in the middle there represents the following hand:

A bad beat in a crucial spot. If I win that pot, I’m in very good shape to take down the tournament, obviously.

However, not everything can be blamed on brutal variance. I have been making some bad decicions with 18 or less people left, which have cost me at least 2 final tables. It seems like I want to make that final table SO bad that I can’t handle the stress and spew away all my chips at a certain point, because of fear of getting blinded out (although I have a healthy stack). Again, something to work on. I decided to play at least 51 more of these $2.50 buy-ins before stepping up.

And finally for the graph-lovers:

Like I said last week I was planning on playing 20 $2,5 180 man SNG’s this week. I ended up playing 23 of them, cashing $251,30, or a net profit of $193,80, which comes down to a ROI of 337%. These results are obviously far better then I had expected (I expected to up around $25 after one week).

Here’s the graph:

I’m running pretty good and not playing all that bad. Not that many spectacular hands have been played, although I keep breaking my head over this one:

This hand was very crucial, I became chipleader after this hand and ended up winning the SNG. Obviously I think he’s stealing and A8 is too good of a hand to muck there. BUT, if I push do I only get called by better? The player was very active (33/33) and his steal attempts were at 100% (over 20 hands, mind you) so was this the right play? I still don’t know…

Maybe I’m not playing cautious enough and this will result in a major downswing later on. Another example of me playing a bit too reckless is the following hand:

After his push I’m only a slight favourite at best. I have a healthy stack, so maybe I should pass on this spot?

Many interesting questions I’m taking into the second week of the grind (although some might say that playing 20 SNG’s a week might not be considered an actual grind, lol.)